The effect of North Korean threats on financial markets in South Korea and Japan
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Dosyalar
Tarih
2016
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Elsevier Science Bv
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
This paper examines the effects of North Korean threats, as measured by the proprietary North Korean Threat Index (NKTI), on financial markets in South Korea and Japan. We examine the effects of the threats on stock markets, foreign exchange markets, and overnight interest rates. We consider causality in mean and variance tests to determine any link between the NKTI and financial variables. The causality-in-mean test results indicate the presence of a causal link running from North Korean threats to stock returns and exchange rate returns in both countries, but no significant link to the overnight interest rate in either country. The causality-in-variance test results indicate no significant impact emanating from North Korean threats. Integrating the North Korean economy into the global economy stands to eliminate these threats and thus to contribute to regional financial stability. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Military threats, Financial markets, Stock returns, Time-Series, Unit-Root, Spillover
Kaynak
Journal of Asian Economics
WoS Q Değeri
N/A
Scopus Q Değeri
Q2
Cilt
43