Univariate Modelling of Energy Consumption in Turkish Agriculture

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dc.authorid0000-0002-9824-5975
dc.authorscopusid16240457800
dc.authorscopusid35485716200
dc.authorwosidUnakıtan, Gökhan/ABA-7061-2020
dc.contributor.authorUnakıtan, Gökhan
dc.contributor.authorTürkekul, Berna
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-11T14:45:11Z
dc.date.available2022-05-11T14:45:11Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.departmentFakülteler, Ziraat Fakültesi, Tarım Ekonomisi Bölümü
dc.description.abstractThe main objective of this study is to estimate future energy consumption in Turkish agriculture. To meet this objective, univariate time-series analysis was used. Annual time series data for diesel consumption in the Turkish agricultural sector for 1970-2006 are used in an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model. The ARIMA model was determined to be (8,1,13). According to the model's results, diesel consumption is predicted to be over 4 million tonnes in 2020. The average growth rate of diesel consumption is 2.17% per year for the coming years in the agricultural sector.
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/15567249.2010.492379
dc.identifier.endpage290
dc.identifier.issn1556-7249
dc.identifier.issn1556-7257
dc.identifier.issue3en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84886050023
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage284
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1080/15567249.2010.492379
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11776/9955
dc.identifier.volume9
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000325678400008
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthorUnakıtan, Gökhan
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherTaylor & Francis Inc
dc.relation.ispartofEnergy Sources Part B-Economics Planning and Policy
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.subjectARIMA
dc.subjectBox Jenkins method
dc.subjecteconometric modelling
dc.subjectforecasting
dc.subjectfuel consumption
dc.subjectGenetic Algorithm Approach
dc.subjectTime-Series Analysis
dc.subjectNeural-Network
dc.subjectElectricity Consumption
dc.subjectDemand
dc.subjectTurkey
dc.subjectArima
dc.subjectVariables
dc.titleUnivariate Modelling of Energy Consumption in Turkish Agriculture
dc.typeArticle

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