Politik İklim Değişikliklerinin Ülkelerarası Ticaretle İlişkisi: Türkiye Rusya Uçak Krizi Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir İnceleme

dc.authorid0000-0001-6199-3999
dc.authorwosidOZMUTLU, SANIYE YILDIRIM/ABA-5260-2020
dc.contributor.authorCan, Esin
dc.contributor.authorÖzmutlu, Saniye Yıldırım
dc.contributor.authorAykac, Cansu
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-11T14:47:26Z
dc.date.available2022-05-11T14:47:26Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.departmentMeslek Yüksekokulları, Sosyal Bilimler Meslek Yüksekokulu, Yönetim ve Organizasyon Bölümü
dc.description.abstractThe core components of the political environment are ideological climate and political processes, nationalism, interventions of governments and political stability. The effects of these changes on international trade are accepted reality in terms of scientific community, countries, and businesses. For this reason, the aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of the political crisis between Turkey and the Russian Federation after the airplane crises on November 24, 2015. Thus, the effect of commercial relations between the two countries by linking variables has been shown in a quantitative study. The study has three parts. In the first part, we look at the political risk concept and political and commercial relations. In the second part of the study, the political crisis is the independent variable and control variables are the CPI-based real effective exchange rate, the monthly percentage change in the CPI and industrial production index. The Turkey-Russia trade volume is considered as the dependent variable. We analyzed the effect of the political crisis on foreign trade volume within the scope of these variables. In order to show the effect of political relations on the foreign trade volume between Turkey and the Russian Federation, a time series regression analysis was conducted with the STATA program. In addition, changes in foreign trade volume were explained with charts obtained by digitization of the Turkey Statistics Institute (TUIK) and the Central Bank (MB) reports. As a result of these analyses, it is concluded that the political crisis has had a meaningful and a negative effect on foreign trade volume. In other words, the reality in the literature is examined by studying a concrete case. In the last part of the study, the results obtained were evaluated and recommendations were made.
dc.identifier.doi10.26650/siyasal.2019.28.1.0001
dc.identifier.endpage18
dc.identifier.issn2618-6330
dc.identifier.issue1en_US
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.26650/siyasal.2019.28.1.0001
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11776/10497
dc.identifier.volume28
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000495438600002
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.institutionauthorÖzmutlu, Saniye Yıldırım
dc.language.isotr
dc.publisherIstanbul Univ
dc.relation.ispartofSiyasal-Journal of Political Sciences
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectPolitical risk
dc.subjectCommercial relations
dc.subjectTurkey-Russian Federation
dc.subjectForeign trade
dc.subjectRisk
dc.titlePolitik İklim Değişikliklerinin Ülkelerarası Ticaretle İlişkisi: Türkiye Rusya Uçak Krizi Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir İnceleme
dc.title.alternativeThe Effect of Changes in the Political Climate on Intercountry Trade: An Econometric Analysis on Turkey-Russia Aircraft Crisis
dc.typeArticle

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