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    Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System and Artificial Neural Network Models for Predicting Time-Dependent Moisture Levels in Hazelnut Shells (Corylus avellana L.) and Prina (Oleae europaeae L.)
    (Mdpi, 2024) Bulus, Halil Nusret
    Nowadays, in parallel with the rapid increase in industrialization and human population, a significant increase in all types of waste, especially domestic, industrial, and agricultural waste, can be observed. In this study, microwave drying, one of the disposal methods for agricultural waste, such as prina and hazelnut shell, was performed. To reduce the time, energy, and cost spent on drying processes, two recently prominent machine learning prediction methods (Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)) were applied. In this study, our aim is to model the disposal of waste using artificial intelligence techniques, especially considering the importance of environmental pollution in today's context. Microwave power values of 120, 350, and 460 W were used for 100 g of hazelnut shell, and 90 W, 360 W, and 600 W were used for 7 mm thickness of prina. Both ANN and ANFIS approaches were applied to a dataset obtained from the calculation of moisture content and drying rate values. It was observed that the ANFIS and ANN models were applicable for predicting moisture levels, but not applicable for predicting drying rates. When the coefficient of determination (R-2), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values for moisture level are examined both for ANN and ANFIS models' predictions, it is seen that the R-2 value is between 0.981340 and 0.999999, the RMSE value is between 0.000012 and 0.015010 and the MAPE value is between 0.034268 and 23.833481.
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    The Effect of Varying Artificial Neural Network and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System Parameters on Wind Energy Prediction: A Comparative Study
    (Mdpi, 2024) Erenler, Gokce Oguz; Bulus, Halil Nusret
    Owing to the development of technology, the majority of nations throughout the world now rely on fossil fuels and nuclear power plants to meet their energy needs. However, as academic research on this subject has shown, it has become clear that alternative energy uses are necessary due to the gradual depletion of these fuels and their significant negative effects on the environment. In order to ensure energy diversity and end the energy shortage, the development of renewable energy sources is crucial. The prediction of wind power is crucial for effectively utilizing the potential of wind energy. In this study, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and an artificial neural network (ANN) have been developed for the prediction of wind power. In this study, data sets were created by taking the daily average wind speeds of the selected wind turbine, the daily average power values it produces, and the daily average wind speed values in the Velimese region. By creating single-hidden layer and multi-hidden layer ANN models, the network was trained multiple times with different activation functions and different numbers of neurons, and wind power prediction was performed. In the ANFIS model, the number of membership functions is kept constant, and wind power prediction is performed using different membership functions. With these ANFIS and ANN models developed with different parameter combinations, it is aimed to determine the most efficient model by performing daily average wind power prediction. Parameter combinations were tested to determine the appropriate models, and as a result, the ANN and ANFIS models were compared with each other.